Weekly Issue
If you've been around this game long enough, you know the magic phrase. Somewhere between Ben Graham's cigar butts and William O'Neil's breakout charts lies the holy grail of equity investing: the tenbagger. Peter Lynch coined the term during his Magellan years, describing stocks that return 10 times your money. It's the stuff legends and retirement accounts are made of.
Finding one is never easy, but it's not magic either. The market leaves clues. The past century of U.S. stock market history is littered with tiny, underfollowed companies that either compounded earnings relentlessly or clawed their way back from near-death experiences, rewarding patient investors with fortunes.
Today I want to take you through four distinct frameworks that have consistently produced 10X winners: Peter Lynch's practical wisdom, small-cap deep value, small-cap fundamental momentum, turnaround and debt-repayment plays, and William O'Neil's CAN SLIM growth blueprint. Each stands on its own, but the real edge comes when you understand how they overlap.
Peter Lynch: Tenbaggers Start Small and Grow Fast
Lynch's genius wasn't in fancy models. It was in common sense. He bought what he understood, long before Wall Street's analysts got around to it. The biggest winners were almost always small, fast-growing companies that compounded earnings at 20% to 25% or more for years. They didn't announce themselves with fanfare. They were the little retailer down the street, the regional manufacturer quietly expanding, the niche software shop landing contracts one by one.
And here's the kicker: most of the gains came years after the initial purchase. Lynch often said the real money was made in years three and four. Investors who lacked patience sold early and missed the compounding effect. Those who held saw modest positions blossom into life-changing ones.
His other crucial insight: don't chase dreams. Lynch preferred companies that were already producing earnings. "Wait for the earnings," he said. The early Walmart investors didn't buy a concept. They bought a small, profitable retailer that just kept opening stores.
Deep Value Small Caps: The Bargain Basement Tenbagger
If Lynch was the friendly neighbor pointing out the local success story, the deep value investor is the junkyard picker looking for diamonds in the dirt. In small-cap land, mispricings are common. Stocks trade at 5x earnings, below book value, or for less than the cash in the bank. Most never amount to much, but every so often, one comes roaring back.
When expectations are rock-bottom, even a modest recovery can trigger explosive upside. A stock at 5x earnings that returns to a normal multiple of 15x while growing profits can easily triple or quadruple. Add a cyclical rebound or a management turnaround, and suddenly you're looking at a tenbagger candidate.
The key here is the margin of safety. Cheapness gives you room for error and leverage on the upside. But it's not enough to buy what's cheap. You need a catalyst: new management, a strategic pivot, or a recovering end market. Without that, cheap can stay cheap for years.
This is exactly what we’re doing in the Flagship Report’s Small-Cap Deep Value Portfolio, to great success.
Turnarounds and Debt Paydown: Rasmussen's Right Tail
Dan Rasmussen's work on leveraged small-cap value stocks reads like a modern-day playbook for contrarian hunters. His research showed that cheap, heavily indebted small caps can mimic the best private equity deals if, and it's a big if, they survive and pay down debt.
Deleveraging is rocket fuel for equity. Imagine a company worth $100 million, financed with $80 million in debt and $20 million in equity. If the business improves and they pay off $40 million of that debt, equity jumps from $20 million to $60 million without the enterprise value budging. That's a 3x right there, before growth or multiple expansion.
This is where true fortunes are made: in ugly, risky situations where survival is in doubt, most will fail. But the survivors, the ones that cut costs, refocus operations, and chip away at their debt, often produce 10X or better returns in a short period. Rasmussen's data makes clear the right tail of leveraged small caps dominates the return distribution. If you're willing to do the credit work and stomach volatility, this is a fertile hunting ground.
Small-Cap Fundamental Momentum: Riding the Earnings Wave
On the opposite end of the spectrum lies momentum, not the blind price-chasing kind, but fundamental momentum. Many modern tenbaggers weren't found in the bargain bin. They were small companies suddenly firing on all cylinders: 30%+ revenue growth, rapidly expanding margins, earnings revisions marching higher quarter after quarter.
Research shows that price momentum largely follows earnings momentum. Companies that keep surprising on the upside attract more buyers, institutions take notice, and the flywheel spins faster. Think of it as catching a company in the early innings of scaling. You're not buying the dream; you're buying the results as they materialize.
These stocks often look expensive on traditional metrics. But if the fundamentals are real, expensive gets more expensive. A decade ago, plenty of investors passed on a "pricey" Netflix at $15 because it looked rich on trailing earnings. They missed the wave.
In our Small-Cap Momentum “Hyperaccumulation” Portfolio, we’re not making that mistake.
William O'Neil's CAN SLIM: Growth with a Blueprint
William O'Neil did the homework. He studied hundreds of the market's biggest winners over 50 years and distilled their shared DNA into the CAN SLIM system. His findings read like a checklist for spotting future 10X stocks:
Explosive quarterly and annual earnings growth: 20% to 50%+ EPS increases were the norm
A compelling new product, service, or strategy driving that growth
Strong price action: stocks near new highs, breaking out of solid bases
Small float and share count, amplifying the impact of new buying
Industry leadership and institutional sponsorship
The brilliance of CAN SLIM is that it combines fundamental excellence with technical confirmation. You're not buying laggards. You're buying emerging leaders just as the big money starts to pile in. Apple, Tesla, Netflix all exhibited these traits in their early multi-year runs.
The Real Edge: Where Value Meets Growth
Each of these frameworks can stand alone. Lynch teaches patience and focus. Deep value gives you cheap optionality. Turnarounds provide asymmetric payoffs. Momentum and CAN SLIM identify businesses with real operational excellence.
But the real magic happens when they intersect. Many of the greatest tenbaggers began cheap and grew fast. They started in obscurity, trading at low multiples, then improved operations, paid down debt, or launched breakthrough products. As the fundamentals improved, earnings momentum took over, institutions piled in, and the market rerated them higher. Value plus growth equals 10X potential.
This is where disciplined investors have an edge. While the crowd chases hot stories at any price or digs endlessly in broken names with no catalyst, you can build a funnel. Start with valuation to ensure a margin of safety. Layer on growth and momentum to confirm improving fundamentals. And finally, apply patience, because these stories unfold over years, not quarters.
Final Thoughts
Tenbaggers are rare, but they're not mythical. The American market has minted them decade after decade. The trick isn't to find a sure thing (there's no such thing) but to place disciplined bets where the odds are tilted in your favor, and let time do the heavy lifting.
Whether it's the undervalued community bank fixing its loan book, the distressed industrial quietly deleveraging, or the niche software company doubling revenue year after year, the raw material is out there. Your job is to build the process, trust the math, and have the patience to let a small stake turn into something much larger.
That's the game. That's the hunt.
It’s exactly what we’re doing in the Flagship Report’s four Premium portfolios. Join us!
Tim Melvin
Editor, Tim Melvin’s Flagship Report